Chiến lược giao dịch tuần 25/1 – 29/1: Tiếp tục chờ đợi
Sau tín hiệu bán sáng Thứ ba 19/1, thị trường đã giảm trên 8% kể từ đỉnh xuống mức thấp nhất trong ngày kế tiếp (20/1). Kể từ mức thấp nhất ngày, thị trường đã có phiên nỗ lực hồi phục trong chính ngày 20/1 khi chỉ số Vnindex tăng trở lại và giá đóng cửa ở vùng đỉnh cao nhất biên độ giá ngày.
Theo phương pháp CANSLIM, khi chỉ số giảm trên mức -6% thì cần thiết phải tính lại đợt nỗ lực hồi phục, thị trường chỉ xác nhận kết thúc điều chỉnh khi có tín hiệu bùng nổ theo đà xuất hiện từ ngày thứ 4 tới ngày thứ 7 sau ngày nỗ lực hồi phục. Như vậy, trong các phiên kế tiếp nếu thị trường tăng điểm mạnh trên 1.2 % với KL cao thì mới xác nhận thị trường trở lại xu hướng tăng, và mới cho tín hiệu giải ngân trở lại. Cách giao dịch theo mẫu hình ngày đảo chiều chủ chốt cũng chỉ cho tín hiệu mua trở lại khi ngày đảo chiều chủ chốt thất bại với điều kiện thị trường tăng vượt qua mốc 1190.
Khi thị trường còn trong trạng thái điều chỉnh thì việc mở mua mới tiềm ẩn nhiều rủi ro. NĐT nên tiếp tục chờ đợi tín hiệu xác nhận trên chỉ số thị trường. Trường hợp chỉ số tiếp tục xuất hiện thêm tín hiệu tiêu cực thì NĐT nên gia tăng hơn nữa trạng thái tiền mặt, bảo toàn thành quả và cho thị trường thêm thời gian để hấp thụ nguồn cung, nạp thêm năng lượng trước khi tiếp tục chinh phục các đỉnh cao mới.
Các cổ phiếu mục tiêu có thể mua trong trường hợp thị trường trở lại xu hướng tăng có thể kể đến một vài cái tên như PNJ, PET… nhờ sự hỗ trợ từ KQKD tích cực trong quý 4 và còn chưa tăng xa khỏi nền giá gần nhất. Chúng tôi sẽ tiếp tục cập nhật các DN có KQKD bứt phá mạnh và còn ở trong vùng mua khi KQKD của các công ty tiếp tục được công bố trong tuần tới.
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