Không có ngày phân phối đảo lộn đà tăng trên chỉ số Vnindex, thị trường có hiện tượng luân chuyển dòng tiền giữa các nhóm vốn hoá khi midcap và smallcap tăng điểm KL cao trong bối cảnh vn30 điều chỉnh KL thấp
Chỉ số VNIndex và VN30 vào đầu phiên chiều đã ghi nhận mức cao nhất trong ngày tương ứng 1272.55 điểm và 1382.06 điểm. Nhưng cả hai chỉ số đã đánh mất mức tăng khá tốt trong phiên vào giờ giao dịch cuối cùng. Đóng cửa, chỉ số VNIndex và VN30 mất lần lượt 3.54 điểm (-0.28%) và 11.47 điểm (-0.84%) về còn 1256.04 điểm và 1359.19 điểm.
VN30 là nhóm chịu áp lực bán chủ yếu trong phiên giao dịch hôm nay sau khi chỉ số này đã làm tốt nhiệm vụ dẫn dắt thị trường trong suốt thời gian vừa qua. Các mã TCB, VNM, HPG, VIC, HDB, MBB mất điểm là tác nhân chính khiến chỉ số VN30 giảm mạnh hơn so với các chỉ số khác. Hai trong số những lý do ảnh hưởng đến nhóm blue chip hôm nay là do (1) công ty chứng khoán có thị phần số 1 là VPS đột ngột cắt giảm tỷ lệ cho vay đối với một loạt cổ phiếu vốn hoá lớn cùng với một số cổ phiếu đang tăng mạnh như HSG và (2) ETF thực hiện cơ cấu danh mục.
Nhóm Thép-Tôn mạ giằng co khá mạnh. Cung liên tục gia tăng ở HPG, HSG, NKG, SMC khiến 3 cổ phiếu biến động lên xuống liên tục quanh mức tham chiếu trong phiên. Khi đóng cửa, trước sức ép của cung giá thấp cả 3 cổ phiếu đều mất điểm tương ứng 1.6%, 3.7%, 1 và 1.9%; tuy nhiên mức điều chỉnh này không đáng kể so với chuỗi phiên tăng giá trước đó. Khối ngoại giao dịch ngược chiều ở nhóm này khi mua ròng HSG và NKG trong khi bán ròng HPG.
Cả hai chỉ số Vnindex và Vn30 đều có KLGD thấp hơn phiên trước đó, cụ thể, KLGD trên Vnindex thấp hơn hôm trước -3%, trong khi vn30 thấp hơn -12.63%. Mặc dù Vnindex có hình dạng thanh giá và KLGD đáp ứng tiêu chí của ngày phân phối dạng đảo lộn đà tăng nhưng nhìn vào bên trong chúng ta nhận thấy nhóm Vn30 vốn là nhóm duy nhất bị giảm điểm lại có KLGD thấp hơn hom trước tới -12,63%, trong khi hai chỉ số còn lại là Midcap và Smallcap đều tăng điểm với KLGD cao hơn hôm trước, rõ ràng midcap và smallcap – hai chỉ số có mức tăng rất đáng kể – mới là các chỉ số đóng góp chính KLGD cho Vnindex. Do đó, chúng tôi cho rằng hôm nay không phải ngày phân phối trên Vnindex.
Bên cạnh đó, chúng tôi quan sát thấy hiện tượng dòng tiền tổng thể trên thị trường vẫn được duy trì, xuất hiện hiện tường xoay chuyển dòng tiền khi nhóm vốn hoá lớn điều chỉnh nhưng dòng tiền lan toả sang nhóm Midcap và smallcap giúp hai chỉ số này tăng điểm lần lượt 1.02% và 0.74%. Số mã tăng giá vẫn chiếm ưu thế với 201 mã so với 135 mã giảm giá trên sàn hose. Các mã điển hình đang thu hút được lực mua trên nhóm Midcap gồm EIB, DXG, GMD… đối với Smallcap PET, DGW, HDC, SVC…
Thị trường chứng khoán Hoa Kỳ đêm qua giảm khá mạnh khi chỉ số DJA giảm sâu -1,4%, nhưng chỉ số NASDAQ lại phục hồi đáng kể từ mức giảm -2% ban đầu, chỉ còn giảm 0,1% cuối phiên. Do đó, nhiều khả năng chứng khoán mỹ không ảnh hưởng nhiều đến chỉ số Vnindex và thị trường VN.
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