Rủi ro vẫn đang gia tăng, thị trường có thể đang hình thành mẫu hình giảm Falling Three Method, phần thưởng/rủi ro là không hấp dẫn để đầu tư
VNIndex hồi phục phiên thứ 3 liên tiếp, chỉ số tăng 9.84 điểm lên 1239.39 điểm (+0.8%) trong ngày giao dịch cuối cùng của tháng 4 với diễn biến chính là giằng co trên ngưỡng tham chiếu. Hoạt động cơ cấu danh mục của các quỹ ETFs diễn ra vào cuối phiên thúc đẩy thị trường diễn biến theo hướng tích cực.
Bất chấp sự suy giảm của VHM (-1.6%) và VIC (-0.4%), chỉ số VN30 vẫn tăng tốt nhất trong các nhóm chỉ số, +1.41% lên mức 1312.28 điểm nhờ có đến 20 mã tăng. Trong đó, nhiều cổ phiếu trụ cột vận động ấn tượng như VPB (+6.4%) tăng mạnh mẽ kèm khối lượng kỷ lục 41.5 triệu cổ phiếu sau thông tin đạt được thỏa thuận bán 49% cổ phần FE Credit cho SMBC. Bên cạnh đó, nhiều nhân tố khác như HPG (+3.8%), CTG (+2.6%), VCB (+1%), TCB (+2.6%)… cũng lần lượt đóng góp nhiều nhất vào chiều tăng của chỉ số.
Các nhóm ngành thu hút sự quan tâm của thị trường như Ngân hàng, Thép – Tôn mạ hay Dầu khí đều vận động tích cực. Trong khi đó, nhóm vốn hóa thấp diễn biến yếu hơn khi chỉ số VNMidcap chỉ tăng nhẹ +0.28% trong khi chỉ số VNSmallcap giảm -0.11%.
KLGD khớp lệnh trên HOSE tăng 4.9% so với quy mô của phiên liền trước, trong khi giá trị thanh khoản tăng mạnh mẽ tới28% đạt 18.1 nghìn tỷ đồng, cho thấy GD tập trung ỏ nhóm vốn hoá lớn.
Khối ngoại hoạt động tích cực trong phiên nhưng quay lại bán ròng -387.3 tỷ đồng. Trong đó, VPB bị bán mạnh nhất -579.5 tỷ đồng nhưng vẫn không gây nhiều tác động lên cổ phiếu trong khi VNM tiếp tục chịu áp lực giảm giá bởi lực bán ròng -216 tỷ từ khối ngoại. Ở chiều mua ròng, khối này ưu tiên những mã trụ VN30 như HPG (+113 tỷ đồng), NVL (+58.9 tỷ đồng), VCB (+45.4 tỷ đồng), …
Trên sàn Hà Nội, UPCOM Index tăng +0.7% trong khi HNX Index không thể hòa chung sắc xanh với thị trường khi đóng cửa giảm -0.11%.
Hành động thị trường đang thể hiện điều gì?
Mặc dù KLGD tăng lên nhưng thân nến ngày lại ngắn đi trên chỉ số Vnindex, nếu KLGD tăng lên và mức tăng của chỉ số cũng gia tăng thì sẽ hạm ý tích cực hơn. Đồng thời, Vnindex cũng đang thể hiện sự lưỡng lự tại mức MA10 và 20 ngày khi không vượt qua được hai đường này khi đóng cửa. Chúng tôi đang nhìn thấy sự vận động tương tự mẫu hình nến tiếp diễn xu hướng giảm Falling Three Method trên chỉ số VNindex. Loại mô hình này thường hoạt động như một cái bẫy, những chú bò tót muốn tham gia thị trường nên chờ đợi đến khi hình hành một cây nến xanh dài, với giá đóng cửa cao hơn mức giá cao nhất của ngày giảm đầu tiên, tức khi thị trường đóng cửa vượt hẳn qua mức 1251. Nhưng cần lưu ý rằng vùng 1250-1280 thị trường vận động rất rộng và lỏng lẻo, cho thấy đây rõ ràng là vùng đỉnh rồi, nên việc mua khi thị trường vượt 1251 không đảm bảo chiến thắng cho chúng ta, tỷ lệ rủi ro trên phần thường là không hấp dẫn để tham gia giao dịch.
Sự tăng điểm mạnh của Vn30 vào cuối ngày nhờ hoạt động cơ cấu của các quỹ giúp chỉ số này có vẻ rất mạnh, nhưng chúng tôi tự hỏi điều gì sẽ xảy ra ở các phiên kế tiếp khi mà các quỹ đã cơ cấu xong, và những người muốn mua sẽ giảm dần đi? Khi cầu suy yếu thì nguồn cung có thể nhảy vào cuộc chơi bất cứ lúc nào để thúc đẩy sự hoàn thiện mẫu hình Falling Three Method. Vì rủi ro là quá lớn so với phần thưởng, nên theo chúng tôi, NĐT nên tiếp tục tận dụng các đợt tăng điểm để gia tăng tích luỹ tiền mặt.
Bên cạnh đó, nhiều cổ phiếu mặc dù thể hiện KQKD xuất sắc, với nền giá tốt, nhưng liên tục xuất hiện phá vỡ thất bại gây thua lỗ. Bối cảnh này khiến cho chúng tôi không tìm thấy nhiều cơ hội để giải ngân.
Chứng khoán thế giới
Theo nhật báo IBD ngày 5/4/2021, thị trường chứng khoán Hoa Kỳ kết thúc trái chiều; Bluechips, SmallCaps dẫn dắt, nhưng nhóm công nghệ vốn hóa lớn gặp khó. Hành động giá trong các chỉ số chứng khoán chính có thể trông vẫn ổn, nhưng hành động bên dưới bề mặt cho thấy một môi trường đầy thách thức với các nhà đầu tư tăng trưởng. Họ khuyên NĐT rằng: “nếu bạn không đồng bộ được với thị trường và danh mục đầu tư của bạn đang gặp khó khăn, thì việc đầu tư 100% NAV không có ý nghĩa gì. Hãy cắt bỏ những cổ phiếu tụt hậu và giữ chắc những cổ phiếu hoạt động tốt nhất trong danh mục của bạn. Có thể nắm giữ một phần tiền mặt tại thời điểm này”.
Trong email gửi tới các đệ tử đêm qua, Daniel J. Zanger nói ông đã cầm tiền mặt vì các cổ phiếu lớn đã thất bại và vận động đáng thất vọng khi công bố báo cáo tài chính lãi khủng, đây là điều không hay ho gì. Ông lưu ý rằng câu nói “bán vào tháng 5 và rời xa thị trường” thường là đúng, và gợi ý nên nghỉ ngơi 2-3 tháng cho tới khi thị trường điều chỉnh xong và trở lại xu hướng tăng.
Rủi ro gia tăng khi tình hình dịch bệnh đang diễn biến theo chiều hướng xấu
Mặc dù dịch bệnh là nguyên nhân của đợt tăng mạnh mẽ trong 1 năm qua trên thị trường VN cũng như toàn cầu nhờ các chính sách nới lỏng hỗ trợ tăng trưởng kinh tế, nhưng mỗi khi sự kiên thiên nga đen này diễn ra do sự tái bùng phát dịch bệnh thì thị trường thường có nhịp điều chỉnh sâu trước khi phục hồi trở lại. Do đó, thật bất cẩn khi nói rằng covid sẽ giúp dòng tiền ngay lập tức đổ vào đẩy thị trường lên cao hơn. Theo chúng tôi, đây là sự kiện có khả năng tác động không tốt tới thị trường, nhất là trong bối cảnh thị trường đang phục hồi về vùng đỉnh với những dấu hiệu tạo đỉnh khá rõ ràng.
Gia tăng tích trữ tiền mặt, thực hiện phòng thủ là hành động nên được ưu tiên trong bối cảnh hiện nay. Cơ hội có thể xuất hiện trở lại nếu như thị trường điều chỉnh 1.5-2 tháng, hoặc khi thị trường giảm 15-20% từ đỉnh cao nhất. Cho tới khi đó, chúng ta nên giữ tiền và chờ đợi.
Thẻ:TSI Daily Report
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اللي بيوفروا الألعاب كلها بروڤايدرز كبار زي براجماتيك وبلاي إن جو. أنا بحب سويت بونانزا وجيتس أوف أوليمبوس، وأحيانًا بلف على Book of Dead. اللي مبيحبش السلوتس فيه قسم اللايف من Evolution بناس بلحمها ودمها، وCrazy Time وروليت مباشر بتحسسك إنك في كازينو حقيقي.
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حاجة عجبتني إن فيه أكتر من وسيلة: كروت بنكية، وe-wallets، وكمان عملات رقمية زي البيتكوين. السحب بياخد يوم لتلاتة على المحفظة، مقارنة بحاجات تانية سحبت منها. التسجيل نفسه بياخد دقايق، والحد الأدنى للإيداع بسيط.
اللي مضايقني شوية إن السابورت أحيانًا بيرد ببطء، ومرة استنيت شوية على الشات. غير كده تحميل التطبيق للأندرويد محتاج تسمح بمصادر خارجية، مش صعبة بس تحتاج انتباه. 888starz apk شغال حلو على الموبايل وبيجيله تحديثات باستمرار.
في العموم أنا كمّلت عليه أكتر مما توقعت، والتطبيق بقى أساسي على موبايلي. فيه ليسنس معلن على الموقع، وده بيريّح وانت بتحط فلوسك. جربوه بنفسكم وقولولي رأيكم.
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A piece that respected the reader by not over explaining the obvious, and a look at violetharborcommercegallery continued that calibrated approach, finding the right level of explanation is one of the harder editorial calls and this site has clearly thought carefully about what readers will already know versus what they need help with consistently.
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Thanks for a post that does not try to be funny when it is not the moment for it, and a stop at shopdeckmarket maintained the same appropriate seriousness, knowing when humour helps and when it just signals desperation for engagement is a sign of editorial maturity that many blogs have not developed yet.
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Sto su Crazy Time piu o meno da mezzo anno e l’ho scoperto per caso, non perche me l’ha consigliato qualche sito. La prima cosa che mi ha colpito subito e la dimensione del catalogo: siamo intorno alle 2.800 titoli, con tutto il pacchetto di Pragmatic Play — Gates of Olympus e Sweet Bonanza sono d’obbligo pero qui caricano veloci. Netent c’e pure, Book of Dead soprattutto e il mio preferito della sera.
Il reparto live gira su Evolution, il che fa la differenza. Croupier in carne e ossa, qualche tavolo in italiano nelle ore di punta, piu i game show stile Monopoly Big Baller. Mi sono fatto piu serate del dovuto al tavolo della ruota, lo ammetto. Chi vuole farsi un’idea prima trova la prova gratuita, che non tutti offrono.
L’offerta di benvenuto di Crazy Time e 100% fino a 500€, requisito di puntata 30x — nella media del settore. Trovi anche dei giri senza deposito pero leggiti le condizioni. Se vi interessa potete dare un occhio ai termini e le promo del mese su rtp crazy time prima di registrarvi. Deposito minimo 20€, la registrazione veloce, KYC dopo la prima richiesta di prelievo.
Lato pagamenti non ho avuto drammi: carte, Skrill, Neteller, accettano Bitcoin. Ho incassato dieci giorni fa via e-wallet, accreditato in una giornata. Sulle carte ci vogliono tre giorni, ed e per questo che evito. Quello che mi ha irritato e stata la verifica: primo upload rifiutato senza spiegazione.
L’help desk di Crazy Time risponde in italiano, via chat abbastanza rapidi, via mail piu lenti. Licenza Malta, MGA — per chi gioca dall’Italia va saputo, non e concessione ADM.
Sul mobile funziona tutto dal browser, c’e anche un’app e carica un filo meglio. Un dettaglio che apprezzo e il tracciamento dei round precedenti, anche se lo dico chiaro: non c’e schema che tenga che renda il gioco profittevole. Io gioco con cifre piccole e stop e me ne faccio una ragione.
A particular pleasure to read this with a fresh coffee, and a look at globalcartcorner extended the pleasure across more pages, content that pairs well with quiet morning rituals is something I have come to value highly and this site has the kind of energy that fits naturally into a calm reading routine.
Reading this prompted me to dig into a related topic later, and a stop at vibrantcartcorner provided some of the starting points for that follow up reading, content that triggers further exploration rather than satisfying curiosity completely is content with real generative energy and this site has plenty of that energy throughout it.
Closed the laptop after this and let the ideas settle for a few hours, and a stop at stylishdealhub similarly rewarded reflective time, content that benefits from sitting with rather than racing past is the kind I want more of and the kind that this site appears to consistently produce week after week here.
Reading this prompted me to subscribe to my first newsletter in months, and a stop at epiccartcenter confirmed the subscribe was the right call, content that earns a newsletter signup is content that has cleared a higher trust bar than a casual visit and this site has clearly earned that level of commitment from me.
Closed several other tabs to focus on this one as I read, and a stop at hypercartcorner held my undivided attention the same way, content that earns full focus in an attention environment full of competing pulls is content doing something genuinely well and the team behind it deserves recognition for that achievement consistently.
Reading this prompted a small redirection in something I was working on, and a stop at echobrookmerchantgallery extended that redirecting influence, content that affects my actual work rather than just my thinking has the highest practical impact and this site is providing that level of influence for me at a sustainable rate apparently.
Honestly slowed down to read this carefully which is not my default, and a look at brightdealhub kept me in that careful reading mode, the kind of writing that demands attention by being worth attention is rare in a media environment full of content engineered to be skimmed not read with any real focus today.
Reading this on a phone at a coffee shop and finding it perfectly suited to that context, and a stop at shopflowcenter continued the comfortable mobile experience, content that works across reading conditions without compromising on substance is increasingly important and this site has clearly thought about the whole reader experience here.
Closed the tab and immediately reopened it ten minutes later because I wanted to reread a part, and a stop at fashiondealshub drew the same return, content that pulls you back after closing it is doing something well beyond the average and worth marking as exceptional in my mental catalogue of reliable sites.
This actually answered the question I had been searching for, and after I checked urbanpinegoods I had a few more pieces I had not realised I needed, that is the sign of a site that knows what its readers want before they even know how to ask it which is impressive.
Granted my mood today might be elevating my reading experience but I still think this is genuinely good, and a stop at silverhorizonstore reinforced that even discounted assessment, controlling for the mood adjustment that affects content perception this site still reads as substantively above average across multiple pieces I have read carefully today.
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Refreshing to read something where the words actually mean something instead of filling space, and a stop at fasttrendhub kept that going, the writing here trusts the reader to follow along without endless repetition or constant reminders of what was already said earlier in the post which I appreciate.
Skipped breakfast still reading this and finished hungry but satisfied, and a stop at mysticgrovegoods kept me past breakfast time, content that displaces basic biological needs is content with serious attentional pull and the writers here are clearly capable of producing that level of engagement which is genuinely impressive these days.
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