Nhật báo IBD ngày 11/10/2022
Chứng khoán giảm điểm cuối phiên chờ dữ liệu lạm phát
Thị trường chứng khoán lại chứng kiến một phiên phe bán trỗi dậy trước một tuần bận rộn của các báo cáo lạm phát và biên bản cuộc họp Fed.
Dow Jones đã có lúc tăng 1,4% với lực hỗ trợ của Amgen (AMGN) và Walmart (WMT).
Nhưng chỉ số blue-chip nhạt nhòa dần vào khoảng 2:45 chiều và kết phiên với mức tăng chỉ còn 0.1%. Amgen đóng cửa dưới mức đỉnh trong ngày nhưng vẫn tăng gần 6% với đánh giá lạc quan từ Morgan Stanley. Cổ phiếu AMGN đã thể hiện hành động tích cực bằng việc tạo khoảng trống tăng giá lên trên MA50 và MA200 ngày.
Phe bán lại nổi dậy trong phiên thứ Ba khi mà thị trường vẫn trong cơn điều chỉnh. Tại một thời điểm nào đó, dòng tiền mới của tổ chức sẽ tham gia. Nhưng cho tới lúc đó, thật vô nghĩa khi cứ cố kiếm tiền trong cơn thủy triều đầy rẫy tiêu cực.
Bởi vì Dow vẫn đang nằm trên mức đáy của ngày 30/9, thứ Ba đánh dấu ngày nỗ lực phục hồi thứ 7 của chỉ số. Tuy nhiên, S&P 500 và Nasdaq vẫn đang mong mỏi ngày nỗ lực đầu tiên. Hôm nay S&P đã cắt xuống dưới mức đáy của ngày 30/9.
Ngày bùng nổ theo đà có xu hướng xuất hiện khi nó ít được kỳ vọng nhất. Vì thế, thật quan trọng để nhận ra nó. Nhưng hãy nhớ rằng, ngày bùng nổ theo đà chất lượng nhất luôn đi kèm với số lượng các cổ phiếu có biểu đồ đẹp.
Thị trường hôm nay
Nasdaq nối dài chuỗi ngày giảm giá lên 5 phiên khi giảm 1,1%. 4 phiên liên tiếp đóng cửa gần mức đáy trong ngày cho thấy khả năng chỉ số lao xuống dưới mức 10.000 điểm. Đây là ngưỡng hỗ trợ quan trọng phải quan sát, đặc biệt là kể từ khi nó rất gần với vùng breakout tháng 6/2020.
Cổ phiếu thiết bị Chip tiếp tục bị bán tháo khi Lam Research (LRCX), KLA (KLAC) và ASML (ASML) đều giảm hơn 5%. Nhóm cổ phiếu chip của IBD thể hiện tệ hại nhất trong các nhóm ngành khi giảm khoảng 5,5%. Chỉ trong tuần qua, nhóm này đã giảm khoảng 9%.
S&P 500 thì giảm gần 0,7%. Chỉ số vẫn đang trên đường…tìm về mốc 3.400 điểm, cũng là ngưỡng hỗ trợ vì gần vùng breakout tháng 8/2020.
Chỉ số vốn hóa nhỏ Russell 2000 tăng 0,1%. Khối lượng giao dịch tăng trên cả hai sàn. Số cổ phiếu giảm giá nhiều gấp đôi số cổ phiếu giảm giá.
Thị trường giảm điểm trước khi công bố chỉ số giá sản xuất vào thứ Tư. Theo dự báo của Econoday thì chỉ số giá bán buôn sẽ tăng 0,2% so với mức -0,1% hồi tháng 8. So với cùng kỳ năm ngoái, chỉ số này được dự đoán sẽ ở mức 8,4%, giảm so với 8,7% của tháng trước.
Cũng trong ngày thứ Tư, biên bản cuộc họp Fed vừa qua sẽ được công bố vào lúc 2h chiều. Thông tin về chỉ số giá tiêu dùng sẽ xuất hiện vào thứ Năm trong khi dữ liệu về doanh thu bán lẻ sẽ được công bố vào thứ Sáu.
Đến thời điểm này, xác suất tăng 0,75% lãi suất trong cuộc họp tháng 11 sắp tới là 80%. Tỷ lệ đặt cược vẫn nghiêng về mức 0,5% trong tháng 12. Nhưng khả năng mức tăng 0,75% thì có vẻ đang gia tăng mặc dù hiện tại vẫn đang ở mức thấp.
Theo nhật báo IBD, Ninh TSI lược dịch
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