
Tại sao phải sử dụng biểu đồ khi đầu tư cổ phiếu
“Các bác sĩ nếu không sử dụng X-quang để chấn đoán mà đã phán bệnh là thiếu trách nhiệm, các nhà đầu tư cũng thiếu khôn ngoan nếu mua cổ phiếu mà không học cách giải thích các mẫu hình giá và khối lượng được tìm thấy trên biểu đồ cổ phiếu” (WILLIAM J. O’NEIL)
Chúng ta sử dụng phân tích các yếu tố cơ bản như lợi nhuận và doanh thu để xác định nên mua những cổ phiếu nào, và chúng ta sử dụng biểu đồ để xác định khi nào nên mua và khi nào nên bán các cổ phiếu đó.
Đọc biểu đồ là kĩ năng đầu tư quan trọng nhất bạn cần học.
Để hiểu được giá trị vô vùng lớn của biểu đồ cổ phiếu, trước tiên bạn phải hiểu rằng 80% vận động của các cổ phiếu trên thị trường là do các nhà quản lý quỹ và các nhà đầu tư tổ chức khác, gồm cả các chủ doanh nghiệp và các cổ đông lớn quyết định. Chính việc mua và bán của họ sẽ đẩy cổ phiếu của bạn lên, hoặc làm giá giảm xuống.
Vì vậy, là một nhà đầu tư cá nhân, mục tiêu cơ bản của bạn là mua được những cổ phiếu mà các nhà đầu tư tổ chức đang mua mạnh, và tránh các cổ phiếu họ đang bán mạnh. Bạn sẽ tìm được các dấu hiệu đó trên biểu đồ. Khi biết phải tìm kiếm những gì, bạn sẽ thấy biểu đồ thực sự có thể cho bạn thấy các nhà đầu tư lớn đang hành động ra sao. Bạn sẽ có thể nhanh chóng nhận ra khi nào một cổ phiếu đang được mua nhiều hay đang bị bán nhiều, và bạn sẽ sử dụng thông tin đó để xác định thời điểm tốt nhất để mua, để bán hoặc nắm giữ vị thế cổ phiếu.
Biểu đồ kể cho bạn nghe “câu chuyện về cổ phiếu”
Nhiều người coi biểu đồ là thứ gì đó quá huyền bí hoặc coi nó như một kiểu xem bói hiện đại. Thực ra biểu đồ không có gì khác ngoài sự thể hiện trực quan về những thay đổi giá và khối lượng giao dịch của cổ phiếu. Biểu đồ không có gì huyền bí hay đáng sợ. Điều đó đặc biệt đúng khi bạn hiểu được rằng biểu đồ thực hiện một điều đơn giản: Chúng kể cho bạn một câu chuyện về cổ phiếu. Chúng đạp lên tất cả những tin đồn, những tiêu đề báo chí nổi bật và những quảng cáo thổi giá, để vẽ nên một bức tranh khách quan về những gì đang thực sự xảy ra với một cổ phiếu:
- Các nhà quản lý quỹ có nhiệt tình mua hay không? Hay họ đang cắm đầu tháo chạy khỏi cổ phiếu nhanh nhất có thể?
- Bất chấp những ngày sụt giá gần đây, các nhà đầu tư tổ chức có thực sự nhảy vào để hỗ trợ cổ phiếu và mua thêm cổ phiếu không, có nghĩa là cổ phiếu đó liệu có thể tiếp tục tăng giá để tạo ra những khoản lợi nhuận thậm chí còn lớn hơn hay không?
- Các nhà đầu tư lớn phản ứng như thế nào trước những thông tin về cổ phiếu gần đây? Có phải họ đã bán mặc dù thông tin tốt? Hay họ đã mua thêm cổ phiếu mặc dù thông tin không tốt?
Nghiên cứu đến cuối phần này, bạn sẽ biết những dấu hiệu căn bản cần tìm để hiểu câu chuyện mà biểu đồ đang kể. Và khi bạn đã hiểu được câu chuyện, các mẫu hình nền giá, các điểm mua và các tín hiệu bán trong phần Cách Mua Cổ phiếu và Cách Bán Cổ phiếu sẽ bắt đầu giúp bạn trở thành một nhà đầu tư thành công hơn.
KẾ TIẾP: Cần những gì trong biểu đồ
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