[Nhật Báo IBD, 15/3/2021] Cổ phiếu tăng trưởng hôm nay chạy như đàn bò tót, tái khẳng định triển vọng thị trường tăng giá.
Các cổ phiếu tăng trưởng ngày hôm nay rất mạnh mẽ. Và lần này, không phải sự mạnh mẽ này chỉ đến riêng từ sàn chứng khoán NYSE.
Khi bạn nghĩ về các cổ phiếu dẫn dắt mới sẽ xuất hiện từ những lĩnh vực/ngành được hưởng lợi từ trạng thái “bình thường mới” của nền kinh tế, bạn có thể nghĩ đến những cái tên như United Airlines (UAL), Hyatt Hotels (H) và chuỗi cửa hàng Macy’s (M). United tiếp kéo dài chuỗi tăng giá từ điểm mua 51.41 của mẫu hình chiếc cốc hình thành trong 10 tuần, và đã tăng giá 18%. Nhưng vào ngày thứ hai, một số cổ phiếu ngân hàng và hàng hóa bắt đầu có những hơi thở khỏe khoắn.
Chỉ số DJIA và SP500 tăng 0.5%-0.7%. Cả hai chỉ số này hơi rùng mình giảm nhẹ vào buổi sáng. Và điều bạn thương thấy ở thị trường tăng giá là “giảm đầu phiên, tăng cuối phiên” như O’Neil từng nói trong cuốn sách Làm Giàu Từ Chứng Khoán.
Khối lượng tăng trên cả hai sàn Nasdaq và NYSE, một tín hiệu cho thấy hành động tích lũy của các nhà đầu tư tổ chức.
Các chứng chỉ quỹ như iShare Russell 2000 (IWM) tăng 0.3%, SPDR S&P Mid Cap 400 (MDY) cũng đánh dấu 7 ngày tăng liên tiếp và phiên hôm nay tăng 1.4%.
KẾT PHIÊN MẠNH MẼ.
Trong khi chỉ số Nasdaq chốt phiên tăng thứ ba với mức lãi 1% thì nó đã đánh dấu sự đảo chiều tăng giá cách đây gần hai tuần. Ngày 5/3 bản thân nó có một mức tăng hơn 1% và bắt đầu đợt tăng giá mới.
Lực mua thực sự xuất hiện mạnh mẽ trong nửa giờ cuối cùng của phiên giao dịch, khiến chỉ số này tăng vọt hơn 1%. Tại mức giá chốt phiên 13,459, chỉ số Nasdaq (có trọng số theo giá trị vốn hóa thị trường) giờ đây có một tấm đệm, dù nhỏ, là đã nằm trên MA50 ngày.
Trong thời điểm này, một vài cổ phiếu công nghệ đã bắt đầu hồi phục vững chắc.
Hãy quan sát 197 nhóm ngành công nghiệp của MarketSmith, cho thấy nhóm ngành dầu và khí gas (của các công ty royalty trust- Tín thác tài sản), hóa chất nông nghiệp, xây dựng nhà cửa, nhà nghỉ có sự hồi phục tốt nhất. Mỗi nhóm ngành này đã hồi phục hơn 2.5%.
CÁC CỔ PHIẾU TĂNG TRƯỞNG NGÀY HÔM NAY
Nhưng nhóm ngành chip và các công ty thiết bị bán dẫn cũng có một ngày giao dịch thứ hai khá ngọt ngào. Các công ty lưu trữ dữ liệu, doanh nghiệp phần mềm, hệ thống y tế, phần mềm tài chính và dịch vụ kỹ thuật cũng tăng hơn 1% theo dữ liệu IBD Data Tables.
Việc lãi suất dài hạngiảm nhiệt vào ngày thứ hai giúp xoa dịu các lo lắng. Hiện nay lạm phát đang là mối quan tâm có thể làm thay đổi tầm nhìn chính sách của FED. Lợi suất của trái phiếu kỳ hạn 10 năm giảm 2 điểm cơ bản xuống còn 1.62% vào ngày thứ hai, và T-Bill kỳ hạn 3 tháng vẫn giữa tại mức 0.04%.
TIÊU ĐIỂM TUẦN NÀY: CUỘC HỌP CỦA FED
Vẫn thế, lãi suất sẽ tác động đến tâm lý của trader mọi lúc. Fed bắt đầu cuộc họp chính sách tiền tệ diễn ra trong hai ngày, bắt đầu tư ngày thứ ba (theo giờ Mỹ). Điều gì đang hợp lý vào lúc này? Độ dốc của đường cong lợi suất, so sánh tỷ suất sinh lợi đầu tư giữa Tín phiếu kho bạc Mỹ ngắn hạn với Trái phiếu dài hạn, đã dốc lên khá nhiều.
Không ngạc nhiên, đó là các ngân hàng, sẽ là người được hưởng lượi từ chênh lệch giữa chi phí tiền ngắn hạn và dài hạn, và hiện đang dẫn dầu nhóm danh sách vượt đỉnh 52 tuần của Nhật Báo IBD.
Ví dụ, có 159 cổ phiếu ngân hàng, 34 công ty tài chính và 15 quỹ tiết kiệm và cho vay đã thiết lập đỉnh cao 52 tuần, theo dữ liệu New High List của Nhật Báo IBD. Vào ngày thứ sáu, hơm 900 cổ phiếu trên cả hai sàn giao dịch thiết lập đỉnh cao 52 tuần trong khi chỉ có 20 cổ phiếu thiết lập đáy 52 tuần.
XU HƯỚNG CỦA THỊ TRƯỜNG CHỨNG KHOÁN NĂM 2021.
Bình luận gần đầy của một Nhà Quản Lý Quỹ Northwestern Multual Wealthy- Ông Brent Schutte, trưởng bộ phận chiến lược đầu tư, nhấn mạnh kỳ vọng xu hướng tăng hiện tại của thị trường sẽ tiếp tục “trong trung hạn nhưng sẽ có nhiều cổ phiếu leader xuất hiện hơn so với đã xuất hiện trong vài năm gần đây.”
Thế lý do chính là gì? Từ tháng 9 năm 2018 đến tháng 9 năm 2020, có sự thu hẹp đáng kể trong lĩnh vực/ngành ở các cổ phiếu dẫn dắt do chiến tranh thương mại, dịch bệnh và sức mạnh lợi nhuận của các công ty công nghệ lớn đã định hình nên thị trường.
Trong giai đoạn hơn hai năm trên, Northwestern Mutual lưu ý rằng, chỉ só SP500 (có trọng số bằng nhau) chỉ tăng 2.9%. Các Midcap có tính chu kỳ giảm 2% và các cổ phiếu vốn hóa nhỏ giảm 9%. Tuy nhiên, giờ thì tình hình ngược lai. Từ tháng 9 năm ngoái, các cổ phiếu vốn hóa nhỏ dã tăng 55%, các midcap đã tăng 38% và chỉ số SP500 có trọng số bằng nhau chỉ tăng 27%.
Dịch theo Nhật Báo IBD
Khách hàng giao dịch tại SSI dưới ID của Mr Trương Minh Huy sẽ được tư vấn đầu tư theo phương pháp CANSLIM với hai room tư vấn độc lập trên zalo là: TSI (Nhà Đầu Tư Thành Công của Mr Khúc Ngọc Tuyên) + Nhà Đầu Tư CANSLIM của Mr Huy. NAV tối thiểu tham dự là 500 triệu đồng.
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