Vnindex tiếp tục tích luỹ kiến tạo, đã xuất hiện tín hiệu kết thúc đợt tích luỹ, một loạt cổ phiếu có điểm mua chất lượng cao
VN Index kết phiên giảm nhẹ -0.26%, về 1,231.66 điểm. Chỉ số này vận động trong một biên độ hẹp và đóng cửa ở nửa trên biên độ ngày, do đó kiểu vận động của chỉ số tiếp tục là phiên điều chỉnh tích cực.
VN30 hôm nay vận động tích cực hơn hẳn so với Vnindex khi chỉ số này tăng nhẹ 0.12%, đóng cửa ở gần vùng giá cao nhất trong ngày, KLGD trên Vn30 cũng tăng mạnh 24.5% so với phiên GDKL cạn kiệt trước đó, thể hiện dòng tiền đang quay trở lại Vn30, là tín hiệu đánh dấu thị trường sắp chấm dứt điều chỉnh để tiếp tục đi lên. Trong nhóm Vn30, FPT tăng mạnh 3.1% cùng với STB (+2.3%), VPB (+1.1%) là những mã cổ phiếu đóng góp nhiều nhất về mặt điểm số.
Khối lượng khớp lệnh trên Vnindex đạt 656 triệu đơn vị, tăng +3.54% so với phiên liền trước, chủ yếu thanh khoản tăng đến từ nhóm Vn30, một phần từ Vnmidcap, trong khi Vnsmall cap giảm nhẹ KLGD.
Khối lượng qua kênh thỏa thuận gấp 2.7 lần phiên gần nhất, tương ứng với giá trị giao dịch 3.8 nghìn tỷ đồng chủ yếu nhờ giao dịch đột biến tại VHM (2.23 nghìn tỷ đồng).
Xu hướng thị trường hiện tại là xu hướng tăng được xác nhận, và không có ngày phân phối trên chỉ số chính. Nhưng mùaa báo cáo tài chính đang tới gần, do đó cần tập trung chú ý vào các công ty dự kiến có KQKD tốt, tránh các mã cổ phiếu và các nhóm ngành chưa rõ KQKD hoặc thường có KQKD bất ổn định (ví dụ các cổ phiêu PVD PVS thường có KQKD khó đoán trước).
Bên cạnh, tuần này thị trường bắt đầu bước vào tuần lễ thứ 10 kể từ đáy, trong vòng 1-3 tuần kế tiếp, chúng ta sẽ ưu tiên việc chốt lãi bảo vệ thành quả, hạn chế giải ngân mới. Như đã nói trong ngày thứ 6 trong nhóm Zalo, phiên thứ 6 có thể sẽ là cơ hội cuối để lên tàu, hoặc nếu chưa lên tàu thì đàu giờ sáng thứ 2 nên tranh thủ cơ hội để mua các mã cổ phiếu chúng tôi khuyến nghị, sau đó chúng ta sẽ dừng vị thế mua mới, trừ khi phát hiện mã cổ phiếu mới có cơ bản và kỹ thuật cực kỳ tốt.
Một loạt các cổ phiếu đang breakout mạnh, là cơ hội mua tiềm năng
FPT breakout KL cao hơn 58% so với bình quân 50 ngày, trước đó là các phiên bó chặt KLGD và biên độ giá. Đây là điểm Breakout chất lượng cao, trong bối cảnh FPT vừa công bố LNTT Q1/2021 ước tăng +22% YoY. Vùng mua của FPT là 80-82.5 theo mẫu hình nền giá phẳng. Mục tiêu khoảng 10-20%.
SCR breaout mẫu hình tam giác đối xứng lớn, KLGD tăng gần 200% so với mức bình quân 50 ngày, trong bối cảnh các dự án BDS tạiTPHCM và một loạt tỉnh thành được tháo gông pháp lý. Cổ phiếu này có lượng hàng tồn kho và dự án rất lớn. Vùng mua của mẫu hình là 9.2-9.3, giá muc tiêu >20%.
FTS breakout mẫu hình 3C lớn, với KLGD tăng gần 100% so với trung bình, phần Cheat cũng có thể coi là một mẫu hình tam giác đối xứng vừa đủ điều kiện thời gian. Nhóm chứng khoná là nhóm dự kiến có kqkd quý 1 rất mạnh. Vùng mua từ 18.3-18.7, cắt lỗ khi thủng 18.
VTO breakout nền giá phẳng 5 tuần với KL đột biến gần 800% so với bình quân 50 ngày, trước đó là GD gần như không có thanh khoản, vùng mua là 9.6-9.7, càng gần 9.6 càng tốt. Giá mục tiêu 15-20%. VTO thuộc nhóm vận tải, là nhóm có hiệu suất tốt ở năm đầu của chu kỳ thị trường. Cắt lỗ khi cổ phiếu rơi về nền giá dưới 9.6.
Ngoài ra CKG PET là hai cổ phiếu cơ bản mạnh vẫn đang trong vùng mua, NĐT có thể tiếp tục giải ngân hai mã cổ phiếu này quanh vùng tham chiếu +1-2%.
VHM: có thể giải ngân theo kiểu swing trong nền giá
VHM đang di chuyển trong mẫu hình tam giác dốc lên lớn, kéo dài gần 12 tuần, khi phá vỡ đỉnh 105 sẽ hoàn thiện mẫu hình. Nhưng có 1 cách giao dịch khác là đánh sưing trong nền giá, theo đó VHM đã có nhịp chỉnh test lại MA50 ngày và đóng cửa phiên thứ 6 kéo lên trên đường ma50, đang có GD thoả thuận của khối ngoại đáng chú ý. Đây là cổ phiếu đầu ngành BDS, quý 1 dự kiến kqkd tốt. NĐT có thể dùng 1 phần margin để chơi Swing ăn lãi mỏng mã này, nếu tín hiệu GD tại vùng 105 tích cực thì giữ tiếp chờ breakout, nếu không mạnh thì chốt sớm.
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