
Xu hướng thị trường ảnh hưởng như thế nào đến danh mục đầu tư?
Thị trường chứng khoán là một trong những phát minh vĩ đại tạo ra sự giàu có nhanh chóng nhất. Trong thị trường tăng trưởng, bạn có thể kiếm được những khoản lợi nhuận đáng kể. Nhưng nếu bạn chỉ mù quáng đầu tư theo cách “buy and hold” và không thực hiện bất kỳ hành động phòng thủ nào khi xu hướng giảm xảy ra, rất có thể tất cả những lợi nhuận mà bạn phải khó khăn lắm mới kiếm được sẽ biến mất – và thậm chí biến thành một khoản thua lỗ.
“Bạn nhất định phải có một phương pháp đáng tin cậy, đã được chứng minh để xác định chính xác liệu bạn đang ở trong thị trường tăng trưởng hay thị trường giảm giá … Đây là bài học quan trọng nhất bạn có thể học nếu muốn ngừng thua và bắt đầu chiến thắng. ” William J. O’Neil, Nhà sáng lập & Chủ tịch IBD
Mặc dù chữ “M” – Xu hướng thị trường – là chữ cái cuối cùng trong Hệ thống đầu tư CAN SLIM®, nhưng thực ra đây lại là phần quan trọng nhất. Lịch sử cho thấy 3 trong số 4 cổ phiếu di chuyển cùng hướng với thị trường chung, tức tăng hoặc giảm.
Vì vậy, nếu bạn mua cổ phiếu khi thị trường đang có xu hướng tăng, bạn có 75% cơ hội đúng. Nhưng nếu bạn mua khi thị trường đang có xu hướng giảm, bạn có 75% khả năng bị sai.
Không có cổ phiếu nào miễn nhiễm với xu hướng thị trường. Thị trường chung tạo ra sức hút rất lớn đối với các cổ phiếu riêng lẻ. Ngay cả những cổ phiếu dẫn đầu mạnh nhất cũng sẽ gặp khó khăn khi thị trường đang đi xuống. Và nếu bạn chỉ mù quáng nắm giữ cổ phiếu và không có hành động phòng thủ nào khi xu hướng tăng đảo chiều thành vào xu hướng giảm, bạn có nguy cơ sẽ đánh mất tất cả số tiền kiếm được (thậm chí âm cả vào vốn).
Thật may, có một cách đã được thời gian chứng minh giúp thoát khỏi đoàn tàu lượn siêu tốc trước khi nó lao xuống và giữ cho lợi nhuận không mất đi theo chu kỳ thị trường.
Trong phần này, chúng ta cùng tìm hiểu cách sử dụng hệ thống CANSLIM để theo dõi các loại điều kiện thị trường, từ đó xác định thị trường đang di chuyển theo hướng nào và làm thế nào để giữ được tỷ lệ thành công có lợi. Khi biết phải làm gì, phải tìm kiếm thứ gì, bạn sẽ đạt được mục tiêu cơ bản khi đầu tư vào cổ phiếu, đó là kiếm tiền khi thị trường có xu hướng tăng và bảo vệ lợi nhuận nhọc nhằn mới kiếm được khi thị trường bắt đầu chuyển sang xu hướng giảm.
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