Nhật báo IBD ngày 20/10/2022
Chứng khoán đảo chiều giảm trong bối cảnh lãi suất trái phiếu tăng
Trong phiên vừa qua thị trường đảo chiều, kết phiên giảm nhẹ sau khi tăng mạnh trước đó. Các chỉ số chính, các nhà đầu tư vẫn chờ đợi một tín hiệu tích cực rõ ràng để khẳng định một xu hướng uptrend mới.
Dữ liệu kinh tế, lãi suất trái phiếu
Số hồ sơ xin trợ cấp thất nghiệp tuần này giảm xuống mức 214.000 so với 228.000 hồi tuần trước. Econoday thì trước đó dự báo con số 235,000.
Chỉ số sản xuất Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing về mức -8.7, thấp hơn mức dự đoán -5.0. Chỉ số này âm cho thấy sự sụt giảm về tăng trưởng khu vực sản xuất.
Bên cạnh đó, doanh số bán nhà của Mỹ giảm tháng thứ 8 liên tiếp trong tháng 9 (giảm 1,5% so với tháng trước) khi lãi vay thế chấp tăng khiến việc mua nhà trở nên đắt đỏ. Tháng 9 ghi nhận mức doanh số giảm 23.8% so với cùng kỳ năm ngoái.
Cũng vào hôm nay, chủ tịch Fed bang Philadelphia Federal ông Patrick Harker cho biết, lãi suất tăng đã không tác động nhiều lắm đến lạm phát, vì vậy, cần thiết phải tăng hơn nữa.
Lãi suất tiêu chuẩn của Fed hiện đang ở vùng 3%-3.25%. ông Harker tin rằng, lãi suất sẽ tiếp tục cao hơn nữa. “Tôi kỳ vọng lãi suất sẽ đạt hơn 4% đến cuối năm nay”.
Lãi suất trái phiếu kho bạc kỳ hạn 10 năm đóng cửa ở mức 4.22%, là mức cao nhất kể từ tháng 6/2008. Đây có lẽ là tuần tăng thứ 12 liên tiếp.
Mùa báo cáo quý 3
Bên cạnh các dữ liệu kinh tế, thị trường chứng khoán tiếp tục tiêu hóa nhiều hơn báo cáo tài chính.
Nhiều công ty nhận được phản ứng tích cực của nhà đầu tư.
Alcoa (AA), AT&T (T), IBM (IBM), Lam Research (LRCX) và Tesla (TSLA) là những cái tên nổi bật.
Cổ phiếu Alcoa đảo chiều từ mức giảm mạnh thành mức tăng 3.4%. AT&T tăng 7.7%. IBM tiếp tục tăng 4.7%. Lam Research thì vượt kỳ vọng kinh doanh quý của phố Wall. Tuy nhiên, doanh nghiệp này cảnh báo việc hạn chế xuất khẩu của Mỹ sang Trung Quốc sẽ ảnh hưởng tiêu cực đến doanh thu của họ vào năm tới. Cổ phiếu của Lam tăng 7.8%. Ở chiều ngược lại, gã khổng lồ Tesla tiếp tục bố hơi 6.7%, phá luôn đáy 52 tuần.
Snap (SNAP) giảm gần 26% sau kết quả kinh doanh quý 3. Trong khi đó, cổ phiếu Dow Jones Verizon (VZ) và American Express (AXP) sẽ công bố báo cáo vào sáng thứ Sáu.
Các nhà đầu tư nên tiếp tục theo dõi các công ty có kết quả lợi nhuận ấn tượng kèm phản ứng tích cực của thị trường. Chúng rất có thể sẽ nằm trong danh sách các cổ phiếu dẫn dắt nếu thị trường đi lên.
Thị trường hôm nay: cổ phiếu vốn hóa nhỏ vật lộn
Trong phiên vừa qua, Dow Jones Industrial Average đã tăng 1,3% vào giữa phiên nhưng kết phiên giảm 0.3% trong khi S&P 500 giảm 0.8%. Nasdaq mất 0.6%, và chỉ số vốn hóa nhỏ Russell 2000 thì vật vã với mức giảm 1,2%.
Khối lượng giao dịch giảm trên sàn Nasdaq nhưng tăng trên NYSE.
Cổ phiếu tăng trưởng hàng đầu thì kết phiên với mức giảm vừa phải. Chỉ số Innovator IBD 50 (FFTY) ETF giảm 0.9%. ETF dừng chuỗi tăng điểm 3 ngày liên tiếp nhưng hiện vẫn đang năm trên mức đáy 52 tuần của ngày 26/9. Cổ phiếu thuộc IBD 50, Steel Dynamics (STLD) tăng hơn 6% sau báo cáo lợi nhuận mạnh mẽ. Cổ phiếu đang chạm điểm mua 88.72 USD của nền giá cốc.
Thị trường tiếp tục nỗ lực phục hồi, chờ đợi tín hiệu tích cực
Phiên vừa qua đánh dấu ngày thứ 6 thị trường nỗ lực phục hồi, vì thế nhà đầu tư lúc này kiên nhẫn chờ đợi phiên bùng nổ theo đà. Nó sẽ xác nhận việc khởi đầu một xu hướng uptrend mới. Nhưng bạn phải nhớ, không phải ngày bùng nổ theo đà nào cũng thành công. Vì thế, hãy giải ngân chậm rãi và có phương pháp nếu tín hiệu tích cực xuất hiện.
Trong khi đó, tiếp tục tạo danh sách theo dõi các cổ phiếu thể hiện vượt trội như DoubleVerify và Vertex Pharmaceuticals (VRTX). Vertex Pharmaceuticals đang cho thấy điểm mua 306.05 USD của nền giá phẳng với điểm vào sớm là 304.36. cổ phiếu đang nỗ lực tìm kiếm hỗ trợ ở quanh MA50 ngày.
Bên cạnh đó DoubleVerify tiềm năng trở thành cổ phiếu dẫn dắt thị trường cần được theo dõi sát sao.
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